New Poll Shows Trump’s Base Is Leaving him
Republicans are starting to abandon Donald Trump.
Donald Trump has never been particularly popular, in fact, he’s the least popular president in history according to every poll ever. But Trump has maintained strong support from his base of supporters.
And the conventional wisdom is that Trump’s base is so loyal to him that no matter what he does they will never abandon him.
You might remember that time Trump claimed he could shoot someone on Fifty avenue and his supporters would still be with him.
Well, a new poll shows that Trump’s base is doing just that – they are leaving him.
Axios reported Monday that a new poll from a Republican public-affairs firm named Firehouse Strategies found that Donald Trump’s support has dropped among the Republican voters who make up his base.
“Our data shows Trump losing support inside the Republican Party and a noticeable drop in his perceived honesty,” according to Alex Conant of Firehouse Strategies.
“Just 6 months in office, Trump is getting into dangerously low territory in key swing states. Trump’s base of support has shrunk from 35.3% of voters who have a ‘strongly favorable’ view of him in April to only 28.6%,” Contant went on to note.
As Firehouse Strategies notes, “Trump’s base is shrinking. He cannot take continued GOP support for granted in swing states.”
The erosion of support from those who say they are “strongly favorable” to Trump is an important development going into the 2018 midterm elections. Republicans have long debated how to respond to Trump’s behavior, but as his base continues to leave him, it is likely that Republicans are going to be willing to publically stand up to Trump in order to save themselves.
“Notably, much of that erosion is among Republicans: Strongly favorable views among GOP voters dropped from 54.1% to 44.9%, while unfavorable views increased from 20.5% to 27.9%,” according to the Firehouse poll.
About the poll: Between 8/1-8/3, we surveyed 2,901 modeled likely midterm voters in Florida (N = 1,098), Wisconsin (N = 525), Pennsylvania (N = 623), and Ohio (N = 655) via IVR, landline only. Likely voters were defined as anyone having voted in the 2010 or 2014 midterm elections, plus the 15% additional most likely to turnout based on in-house turnout score modeling. Margin of error varies by question and segment, but is generally +/- 2.1% for topline results. Sample was weighted by state, age, gender, and party based on 2014 midterm turnout in L2 voter file (spring 2017) for each state. Results were then re-balanced based on these cohorts.
[image via Twitter]
